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News
World Modeling: the Shared Model of the World Behind Every FutureSearch Forecast
3+ hour, 3+ min ago (409+ words) Research plan half price for your first month Every forecast you run through FutureSearch draws on a world model: a set of shared drivers discovered across thousands of forecasts, which the forecaster commits to one view of and applies consistently....
Published Forecasts from FutureSearch
3+ hour, 3+ min ago (217+ words) Research plan half price for your first month General inquiry? You can reach us at [email protected]. Each page shows the answer, the full rationale, and every source the research agents read. Nothing is redacted except the input data of the…...
Forecast Categorical and Threshold Questions with FutureSearch
3+ hour, 3+ min ago (528+ words) Research plan half price for your first month General inquiry? You can reach us at [email protected]. Not every question is yes or no. "Who wins?" has four answers. "How high does oil go?" has a ladder of them. Running each…...
Forecast a Decision: the Outcome Under Each Alternative You Could Choose
3+ hour, 3+ min ago (324+ words) Research plan half price for your first month General inquiry? You can reach us at [email protected]. decision forecasts the outcome under each alternative of a choice you control. Each row states one yes/no outcome question and lists that decision's…...
Publish and Share a Forecast Publicly
3+ hour, 3+ min ago (452+ words) Research plan half price for your first month General inquiry? You can reach us at [email protected]. A finished forecast lives in your session, visible only to you. Publishing gives it a permanent public page at futuresearch.ai/app/p/a…...
Blog
2+ week, 6+ day ago (1711+ words) Technical posts from the FutureSearch team. FutureSearch now runs world modeling over every forecast. It discovers the shared drivers that related questions depend on, commits to one view of each, and applies that model of the world across thousands of…...
Will AI fall significantly out of alignment with human… — FutureSearch
3+ week, 3+ day ago (541+ words) Will AI fall significantly out of alignment with human… FutureSearch FutureSearch: Search the Future Ask any question about the future and get a forecast: probabilities, numbers, and dates, backed by a public track record on stocks, prediction markets, benchmarks, and…...
When Will Google Rejoin the AI Frontier?
1+ mon, 2+ week ago (189+ words) Gemini 3.5 Pro ships around July 1 but probably lands behind the frontier, with no clear Claude Fable-level model in sight. The reasoning and agentic coding Pichai showed on stage is roughly what Anthropic and OpenAI gave paying users earlier this year....
Forecast Founder Seed Valuations for AI Researchers with Claude Code
2+ mon, 3+ week ago (179+ words) General inquiry? You can reach us at [email protected]. Forecast what 116 AI researchers could raise at seed if they left their labs to found AGI startups. The forecaster searches each researcher's publication record, lab affiliation, public profile, and the recent Sutskever…...
AI 2027, One Year Later
3+ mon, 3+ week ago (858+ words) Parts of a 2025 forecast of dangerous AI have started to come true Their scenario felt farfetched to us at the time. But one year later, many specific predictions seem scarily close to our reality, in what AI labs are doing,…...